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Chris Lamm

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Timing the Market Fails - May 2025 Market Update

Originally published

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🏡 Are We Finally in a Buyer’s Market?

The housing market in 2025 is starting to look very different than it did just a few years ago. According to Redfin, 41% of home sales now include seller concessions, such as closing cost credits or repair incentives. That marks a major shift from the days of multiple-offer bidding wars. While some markets like Sacramento and the Bay Area remain competitive, others with growing inventory, such as Texas, are becoming much more buyer-friendly.

Zillow recently reported that home prices are expected to decline in more than 240 U.S. markets this year. Inventory is rising steadily across the country, and sellers are more willing to negotiate. If you have been waiting for conditions to improve, this may be your chance to buy with more leverage.

📉 Inflation and Mortgage Rates: What’s Next?

Mortgage rates are closely tied to inflation, and recent data is finally pointing in the right direction. The PCE report showed inflation cooling, and first-quarter GDP came in lower than expected. This signals a slowing economy, which historically helps bring mortgage rates down. These developments have laid the groundwork for rates to improve in the coming months.

However, some uncertainty remains. Ongoing tariff conflicts with China could drive short-term inflation back up, which would put upward pressure on rates. Most economists agree that rates will likely decrease throughout 2025, but buyers should still expect some movement and stay ready to act when conditions align.

🔑 What This Means for Home Buyers in Summer 2025

If you are planning to buy a home this summer, it is important to focus on what you can control. Move-up buyers who need to sell their current home often hope to get a deal on the next one. But if home values drop, the discount you expect to get will probably come out of your own sale price too. Timing the market rarely works out in your favor.

If you are financially ready, waiting may not lead to better results. The right time to buy is when the numbers make sense for your situation.

Rates and terms subject to change without notice. Not a commitment to lend. Not available in all states. This is not tax, legal, or financial advice. Consult a qualified professional for your specific situation.

Private lender. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs or any government agency.

Reverse mortgage borrowers must complete a counseling session with a HUD-approved counselor before applying. This material is not from HUD or FHA and has not been approved by HUD or any government agency.

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